The Rich List · Week 5

Season 2026 $1 = $10M Seed 20260920 · 10,000 draws

The Rich List

Twelve seats, valued weekly in the expected prize money each will collect, plus a brand line the Office has measured to predict nothing. Decomposed, so the argument is the good kind.

Week
5
Stamp
2026-10-11:lock
δ
0.6
Seats
12
Week 5

The table

Value, then its parts: operating (this season’s expected prize money off the season simulator), keeper (next season’s identifiable surplus, priced at the league’s exchange rate), brand (a multiplier on the seat’s perpetuity). Change is against the previous stamp.

#SeatValueChangeOperatingKeeperBrandP(playoffs)P(title)Trend
1Mike$9.82B(▲$2.66B)$5.93B$514M Brock Purdy, rd 9×0.9095%21%
2Jordan$9.30B(▲$41M)$5.05B$343M Amon-Ra St. Brown, rd 4×1.0486%18%
3Evan$9.24B(▲$792M)$4.97B$278M Denzel Boston, rd 12×1.0685%18%
4James$7.07B(▼$1.66B)$3.66B$37M Travis Kelce, rd 8×0.9071%13%
5Larry$6.62B(▼$235M)$1.79B$688M Jaxon Smith-Njigba, rd 3×1.1163%6%
6Scott$6.52B(▲$364M)$1.66B$793M Puka Nacua, rd 8×1.0943%6%
7JD$5.93B(▼$810M)$2.00B$247M Chig Okonkwo, rd 13×0.9856%6%
8Ryan$5.68B(▲$843M)$1.18B$499M Juwan Johnson, rd 13×1.0741%4%
9Justin$5.12B(▼$30M)$1.04B$107M Colston Loveland, rd 3×1.0628%3%
10Ronnie$4.99B(▼$245M)$514M$247M Dalton Schultz, rd 13×1.1313%2%
11AJ$4.95B(▼$572M)$82M$557M Trey McBride, rd 7×1.154%0%
12Talbot$4.64B(▼$1.36B)$645M$482M Dalton Kincaid, rd 8×0.9415%2%

Brand is history and trophies. It predicts nothing; the Office has measured this and would like everyone to stop asking.

The balance sheet

What the lines are

Operating
Σ P(place) × payout, the simulator run from the lock snapshot off each seat’s expected-set lineup — the optimal one minus what the manager has been leaving on his bench.
Keeper
The best keeper on the roster: next season’s value over replacement at his position, less what his cost round has returned, at δ times the league’s exchange rate from points to dollars. Picks are a second line, zero until a next-season pick changes hands.
Perpetuity
A seat is worth the average payout forever, discounted: $3.75B at δ = 0.6, times brand.
Brand
Titles, finals and playoff appearances with a three-season half-life, side-game trophies, placed on [0.9, 1.15] with the league’s best brand at the top. A quarter of the perpetuity, at most, between the best brand and none.
Provenance

Rerun it yourself

Stamp
2026-10-11:lock
Seed
20260920
Draws
10,000
Consensus board
2026-10-09
Rank curves fit
2026-09-20
Residual pools
2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025
Standings from
history
λ, mean
$2.00 a season-point

Every number on this page is in data/franchise/2026/, written by scripts/franchise-value.py with the seed above; the JSON stores real dollars and the scale is cosmetic.

Written from the valuation file the Office computes each week from the lock snapshot, the consensus board and the constitution’s payouts, and rebuilt whenever it changes. No figure on this page was typed. — Office of the Commissioner